Outer Banks season 3 has now been on Netflix globally for a few weeks and has proven in the charts why it got an early season 4 renewal. A lot is already known about the show’s fourth season, so let’s look at how season 3 is performing and everything we know about season 4 of Outer Banks.
First debuting on Netflix back in April 2020, Outer Banks is the ensemble teen drama that follows a group of Pogue teenagers who have been hunting treasure over the course of the past three seasons.
Season 3 debuted on Netflix globally on February 23rd, 2023
Outer Banks Was Renewed for Season 4 Ahead of Season 3 Release
The series was renewed ahead of the season 3 release of Outer Banks on February 23rd.
It came as part of a live event called “Poguelander: An Outer Banks Experience” that took place on February 18th and saw the cast announce the fourth season, plus saw performances from the likes of Khalid, Lil Baby, alt-J, and Elley Duhé.
Jonas Pate, Josh Pate, and Shannon Burke were confirmed to continue in their respective roles as co-creators, showrunners, and executive producers.
In a statement released to the press during the event, they said:
“Seeing Poguelandia come to life was nothing short of spectacular. The Pogues are enjoying an adventure of a lifetime, and we now get to map out more twists and turns as the joyride continues into season four of Outer Banks. Thank you to Netflix, our cast, and the amazing fans who helped to make this happen.”
WE RAGED. WE SAW. WE CONQUERED. OBX SEASON 4!!!! 💥💥💥💥 pic.twitter.com/EOlamlCBTg
— obxnetflix (@obxnetflix) February 19, 2023
Netflix cited strong performance in its renewal notes, saying, “The hit series held the #1 spot globally in Netflix’s Top 10 English TV list for the 4 weeks following its Season 2 launch on July 30, 2021 and in the Top 10 for 6 weeks; it reached the Top 10 in 74 countries.”
Early renewals ahead of time like this are rare and often reserved for Netflix’s biggest shows that they can bank on a successful run when a new season drops onto the service. Contrast that to most shows that need to hit certain metrics (not known to the general public) within a defined period of time to justify a renewal.
Other Netflix shows that have landed early renewals at Netflix include Stranger Things, Virgin River, and Bridgerton.
Netflix stated in their renewal that “Season 4 details and additional information will be shared at a later time.”
How well is Outer Banks Season 3 performing on Netflix?
Through a few sources (including Netflix itself), we can look into how well Outer Banks season 3 is performing.
Let’s kick off with the reported hourly figures as provided by Netflix every Tuesday. So far, we can see the show had a solid opening week increasingly massively on season 2 but showing a steeper decline in weeks 2 and 3. Why is this? Well, our speculation is that audience gobbled up the show in record time in the first week, which is why we saw a slight drop in weeks 2 and 3.
Here’s the week-by-week breakdown of Outer Banks season 2 vs. season 3.
|Week in Top 10||Outer Banks Season 2||Outer Banks Season 3|
|2||105,330,000 (+5%)||99,000,000 (-36%)|
|3||51,600,000 (-51%)||44,580,000 (-55%)|
We can also look at FlixPatrol data to see how the series performs regarding the raw daily top 10s.
If we do a quick look, we can see that the two very much compare, but where season 3 looks to be doing better is its week two figures having even a small bump in mid-March 2023.
When could Outer Banks Season 4 release on Netflix?
We hope you haven’t binged through Outer Banks season 3 too quickly, as you’ve likely got one year of waiting for season 4 at the absolute least.
As reported in early March 2023, Netflix has scheduled the production dates for Outer Banks to begin in late May 2023.
According to a new production list by ProductionWeekly, Outer Banks season 4 is scheduled to begin filming on May 30th, 2023, and then run through the majority of 2023 with an estimated wrap date of December 15th, 2023.
Further rumors of the filming start were posted by gossip account Deux Moi who stated, “Production starts end of May. They’ll be in South Carolina until the end of the year.”
Based on past trends and these new production dates, we could wait between 15 and 18 months. That’d place Outer Banks‘ fourth season to release on Netflix sometime between May and August 2024.
Of course, that’s just speculation for now, and we’ll evolve our prediction as and when new information comes to light.
What to expect from Outer Banks season 4 on Netflix
Warning: Spoilers ahead.
What can we expect storywise from the fourth season? There’s a lot to cover, given the cliffhanger at the end of season 3.
As a quick reminder, episode 10 saw The Pogues search for El Dorado, coming to a close with them closing in on the treasure deep into the jungle with John B and Sarah facing their toughest challenges and loss.
The loss, of course, was the two major deaths by the end of season 3 in the form of Big John and Ward dying while fighting off Carlos Singh and his men.
Fast forward to the end few scenes, and we see an 18-month time jump ending the season ultimately on a happy note and setting up the next adventure.
In the final scenes, a mysterious older man approaches The Pogues with a job offer. Though initially skeptical, it’s revealed that he possesses a manuscript from 1718 containing information on the notorious pirate captain Edward Teach, also known as “Blackbeard.” He seeks partners to assist him in investigating the document, which includes precise details of Teach’s voyages and the location of his ship.
Expect the unexpected is the beat the creators have said in numerous interviews following the release of Outer Banks. Josh Pate said that season 4 is “not going to be the usual Blackbeard story” for instance.
Of course, the cast and crew of the show have teased what we could see in the season ahead. One absurd interview even led to the showrunners teasing that the show may take the Fast & Furious franchise route is heading to space.
Could there be a season 5 of Outer Banks at Netflix?
In the show’s early days, creators told various outlets that they had originally planned for the show to run for four or five seasons.
In February 2023, they told EW that those plans are no longer in place an instead plan to keep the show running for as long as possible.
Josh Pate told Entertainment Weekly, “I don’t know if I could put a real number on it right now — how long it takes to get to that ending might expand, but we now know the shape of the end of the story. We’re going to take it as long as we can, for sure.”
Are you looking forward to a fourth season of Outer Banks on Netflix? Let us know in the comments down below.