Shadow and Bone – Cr. Courtesy of Netflix © 2023
The Grishverse is back after a two-year hiatus, but now we face another wait for season 3 of Shadow and Bone, which has yet to be confirmed. Will Shadow and Bone get a season 3 renewal or the rumored Six of Crows spinoff? Here’s what we know so far.
Based on the Grishaverse books by Leigh Bardugo, Shadow and Bone is Netflix’s big-budget fantasy show helmed by Eric Heisserer and starring Jessie Mei Li, Archie Renaux, Freddy Carter, and Ben Barnes.
Season 1 landed on Netflix in April 2021, with season 2 released almost two years later in March 2023.
Has Shadow and Bone been renewed? How well is Season 2 performing on Netflix?
Official Renewal Status: Not Yet Renewed
Our Renewal Prediction: Likely Cancelation (Last updated: April 4th, 2023)
As of May 29th, 2023 the show remains in limbo alongside the long-rumored Six of Crows spin-off that’s not yet been greenlit.
A renewal of Shadow and Bone will come down to the numbers, given it hasn’t earned itself an early renewal upfront. As we’ve covered before, Netflix shows have to meet several internal metrics used at Netflix, with one of the most important metrics, we’re told, being the completion rate.
Another factor that may be playing into things right now is the WGA strike. Writers on the show would be prohibited from returning to work on the show until the strike has been resolved, which, as it stands, remains unclear. On top of the fact that the show would likely be two years away (which we’ve seen damages a show’s viewership time and time again), it makes the future look particularly bleak.
The last public update we had was via Sophie Holland, the casting director on the series, telling Deadline in late-May 2023 (notably over two months after the season 2 premiere):
“…as for Shadow And Bone, we’re really hoping for a third season. It seems to have a huge fan base. It’s a fresh, up-and-coming cast and the story is very faithful to the books, which is refreshing. It’s all about that first month’s performance on Netflix, I guess, so we’ll find out soon if it’s being recommissioned. It’s a tricky time, as you noted, so we’ll see.”
So how well did Shadow and Bone season 2 perform on Netflix?
Using several sources, we’ll be keeping track of the show’s progress on Netflix plus externally below:
Netflix Top 10 Hourly Numbers
Let’s begin with Netflix itself, which releases hourly data for its top 40 shows and movies every Tuesday.
Here’s how its weekly ranking in the Netflix global top 10s looks thus far after two weeks. Between March 12th and April 2nd, the show has picked up 132.43M hours in the top 10s. Here’s how that breaks down week-to-week:
| Week Period | Hours Viewed(M) | Rank | Week in Top 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| March 12th, 2023 to March 19th, 2023 | 50,400,000 | 2 | 1 |
| March 19th, 2023 to March 26th, 2023 | 55,030,000 (+9%) | 2 | 2 |
| March 26th, 2023 to April 2nd, 2023 | 27,000,000 (-51%) | 3 | 3 |
Sadly, without a massive debut for Shadow and Bone season 2 and no growth in week 2, we changed our prediction to likely cancelation. Week 3 almost certainly sealed the deal with a dramatic 51% in viewing hours.
We also don’t have any direct 1-to-1 comparisons with season 1 to compare with, sadly, as that was released before we started receiving hourly data. We only learned that 55 million people watched season 1 in the first 28 days.
One positive note is that season 1 saw a big bump in viewership in week 1, meaning people are either introduced to the show for the first time or rewatching (after all, a two-year wait is a long time). Season 1 scored 24.07M hours in week 1 of S2 being released.
To illustrate the opening week, we’ve compared the show’s second season purely to other genre shows in their first week; we can see Shadow and Bone is set between two groups of shows thus far, meaning, in our opinion, it’s currently skirting the line.
| Title | Week 1 – Hours in Top 10s | Status |
|---|---|---|
| The Sandman | 69,480,000 | Renewed |
| Vikings: Valhalla S2 | 55,350,000 | Renewed |
| Shadow And Bone S2 | 50,400,000 | Unknown |
| Raising Dion S2 | 49,090,000 | Canceled |
| Fate: The Winx Saga | 48,960,000 | Canceled |
| Warrior Nun S2 | 26,220,000 | Canceled |
How does the CVE (complete viewing equivalent – divide the number of hours vs. the show’s runtime) look? Well, the chart below doesn’t paint a powerful picture for week 1:
CVE for Shadow and Bone Season 2 in Week 1
In week 2, our top 10 report looked at the evolution of the series and compare it to several other YA fantasy shows that also weren’t renewed:
Shadow and Bone S2 vs Fate: The Winx Saga vs Warrior Nun vs Raising Dion S2
Raw Top 10 Data from FlixPatrol
One positive sign for the show is its ability to stick around in the top 10s for a sustained period of time.
According to FlixPatrol, the show was still the fourth biggest around the globe as of April 4th, 2023, and showed particular strength in countries like Australia, the Nordics, and Central to East Europe.
At the very least, we’d be looking for Shadow and Bone to stay in the top 10s, at least until a month has passed since season 2 debuted.
External Data Demand for Shadow and Bone
TelevisionStats.com uses multiple metrics from around the web, including Wikipedia traffic, IMDb traffic, Twitter, Reddit, and Torrents, to judge what the most “in-demand” shows at any given time. Shadow and Bone looks to be doing well there, with it only being outranked by The Last of Us since season 2 dropped. As of March 29th, it’s the 10th biggest show in the world and April 4th, the 15th biggest show.
Picture: TelevisionStats.com
Moving onto Nielsen’s top 10 data (also tracked via our top 10 search tool), we can see how the show has evolved from season 1 to season 2. Their data tracks connected device viewership, specifically in the United States.
As seen below, the show had good viewership in week one and week two but notably didn’t grow between those two weeks and worse yet, saw around a 50% drop in week 3:
Nielsen top 10 data for Shadow and Bone
Finally, how about critical consensus?
On that front, things look decent. Season 2 on RottenTomatoes scored well with critics (just like season 1), with an 84% rating compared to the 89% for season 1.
IMDb scores for the individual episodes in season 2 ranged from 7.6 to 8.6.
Picture: RottenTomatoes
What to Expect from Shadow and Bone Season 3
There’s a lot of stories left to be told in Shadow and Bone season 3, even though much of the main book trilogy has been adapted, with season 2 covering much of the events of Siege and Storm and Ruin and Rising with the finale of season 2 showing us the Darkling’s death but notably diverges from the books by splitting the pair up and introducing a new darkness into Alina’s world.
The show’s creators have teased that any new season would consist of a mix of new original material while also weaving in some of the King of Scars duology novels.
Netflix Life detailed some of the biggest burning questions for season 3, including:
- Is Alina now a Shadow Summoner?
- What’s happening to Nikolai at the end of Shadow and Bone season 2?
- What is the drug “jurda parem” that the Crows are trying to stop?
Shadow and Bone. (L to R) Jessie Mei Li as Alina Starkov, Archie Renaux as Malyen Oretsev in episode 201 of Shadow and Bone. Cr. Dávid Lukács/Netflix © 2023
Will there be a Shadow and Bone Spinoff?
Since season 1 debuted, we’ve consistently heard rumors of a Six of Crows spin-off.
Eric Heisserer confirmed these plans to Entertainment Weekly on March 16th, telling the access outlet the spin-off would “be its own little season of fun that our characters would get to be a part of,” but added that it depends largely on the numbers for season 2.
“There’s a lot of work that’s gone into the planning of this. The hope is then we get to act on that planning,” Heisserer told EW. “But of course, it’s about how well season 2 numbers do. And if so, then Daegan and I will continue to carry the mantle of both shows, which is also helpful because we have a lot of mouths to feed” — in terms of giving screen time to all the actors.”
Numerous production listing websites and outlets have confirmed that Six of Crows is in “active development,”
We contacted Netflix, who told us that while a Six of Crows series has been in development, it isn’t near a greenlit stage but that it’s subject to change.
Shadow and Bone: Destinies Coming Soon to Netflix
Picture: Netflix Games
Finally, in 2022 Netflix announced it would be releasing a mobile companion game for Shadow and Bone slated for release in 2023 but clearly wasn’t ready in time for the release of season 2.
Here’s what you can expect from the game per the games developer, Chimera Entertainment:
“Shadow and Bone: Destinies is a single-player role-playing game for Netflix’s gaming service on mobile devices, based on the IP of the same name. Players choose a variety of heroes to journey across the world of the Grishaverse in a story-driven quest to fulfill their destinies. Along the way, they will have to manage scarce resources, uncover clues about their destiny, and interact in a wide variety of events, such as using Grisha magic, stealth, negotiation, and combat. The game could also be described as a modern “choose your own adventure” game, with a healthy dose of RPG and episodic storytelling.”
Do you want to see the return of Shadow and Bone for a season 2 and the spin-off? Let us know in the comments down below.
